This report presents four different scenarios about how EU-Russia relations could look like in 2030: Two of them, “A Cold Partnership” and “Community of Values”, imply different degrees of cooperation and even partnership. The two others, “Descending into Anarchy” and “On the Brink of War”, suggest increasing tensions and the danger of military escalation.
These scenarios are the result of a scenario building process EUREN members went through between February and September 2020. At a time when the EU and Russia have hit yet another low we hope to inspire readers on both sides to direct their gaze to the future and weigh carefully the pros and cons of this important relationship.
The EU-Russia Expert Network on Foreign Policy (EUREN) was initiated by the EU Delegation to Russia and the Russian International Affairs Council in 2016 as a new platform for interaction between EU and Russian foreign policy experts and think tanks. It brings together 40 prominent foreign policy experts and think tanks from Russia and EU member states. The members of this core group come from different cities in Russia (Ekaterinburg, Moscow, St. Petersburg) and from 14 EU member states (Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Spain, Sweden and The Netherlands).
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